10 Mega-Trends from Google

Google held a "Google Singapore Marketing Brief" a couple of days ago (13th Nov) at my M Hotel (plug and disclosure). The agenda was:

14:30 - 15:15 Southeast Asia Internet Snapshot
by an APAC Senior Analyst from Hitwise.

15:15 - 16:00 A New Approach to Media
By Google's Vice President, Asia Pacific & Latin America

16:00 - 17:30 Panel Discussion with:
- Sukhinder Singh-Cassidy, Google's Presenter above.
- Jeffrey Seah, CEO Mindshare & Maxus Singapore
- Miguel Bernas, Multimedia Marketing Manager, Asia Pacific, Nokia.
- And yours truly, Director - Global eCommerce, Millennium & Copthorne Hotels

The Hitwise presentation had some good data, but the delivery was a bit uninspiring... Perhaps it had something to do with the fact that I had just finished a buffet lunch and my blood is working around my belly rather than my head.

Sukhinder's presentation was around "10 Mega-Trends". I will list them here, but most of the examples she used were Google pitches. Fair enough.

1) User Revolution - This is about "consumer generated media", "user generated content", "user driven content", etc. etc. etc. This is a no-brainer trend, but it certainly is MEGA. Note that we do not say "Web 2.0" anymore. That is so passe' or "Expired" per Wired Mag's categorization of "Wired, Tired, or Expired".

2) Consumers are "Always on". So what else is new? They are, or will be, on via PDAs, cellphones, Blackberries, watches, and iPhones (its not a PDA or cell; its in a class of its own.); at home, at work, in the car, on the bus, at the kids' baseball game, while watching TV... and studies have shown that people are airtyping in their sleep. (just kidding).

3) Offline drives online. Straight-forward, but I would say it is a symbiotic relationship that will one day become a single indivisible organism. With augmented-reality displays and googles, you will one day feel naked without it. From a hotel perspective, this industry is going to save so much money on renovation: all we got to do is renovate our augmented universe to a 7-star hotel and the guests won't know that they are sitting on a 20-year old sofa.

4) Local search is growing. May be this is not so apparent to most of the people in the audience, but they better pay attention. Our best PPC "campaign" segment is Google Maps UK where we get return-on-ad-spend (ROAS) between $27 and $30 for every dollar spent. Users are not just looking for "New York hotels" anymore; they are searching for "broadway hotels", "hotels near times square NY", and "bangkok hotels near soi cowboy" (inside joke and SEO inbound link for my new hotel).

5) Video is big - and getting bigger. Youtube, Joost, Veoh. Startup like TVtrip. While Sukhinder meant "getting bigger" as in more popular, I think that "getting bigger" also literally applies to size - full screen and HD in all its glory.

6) Brand connections occur across the web. Consumer are not coming across your brand only on your website. They see it on retailer sites, on social networks, on portals, on search engines... So how do you keep track of that and manage the brand or the reputation?

7) Niche sites have tremendous value. There was a chart that showed that 80% of the ad revenue is going to the Big Four sites (Google, Yahoo, MSN, and whatever), but these sites only get less than 50% of the traffic. There is much potential for reaching a targeted audience by searching out these niche secondary/tertiary sites.

8) Mass personalization. Another a no-brainer. Sukhinder used iGoogle as an example. It's a great example of a personalized DIY portal with your own widgets, gadgets, and feeds. This is from a user's perspective, but from a business perspective, I think the prime example is amazon.com. "You recently searched for....", "People who selected this also bought...". This is pushed personalization based on your behavior. Scary huh? (ooooo.. "pushed personalization" has a nice ring to it. Just Googled it. This phrase has not been used before in this way. I coined it first - right here, OK? So when Tim O'Reilly starts using at his next conference, you know he has read this blog.")

9) Creativity on massive scale. Sounds like crowdsourcing to me. She used the example of Threadless T-Shirt. I blogged about Embassy Suites in September. Sounds great to me: Cheap labor, cheap market research, and cheap customers. WARNING: design is very subjective, especially in a multi-cultural global market. You might want to segment those massive crowdsourcing creatives by region or countries or even cities. Shall we call it "creativity on a massive personalization scale"?

10) Digital is at the center of the world. With 1 billion people online (actually 791 million according to Comscore's September 07 figures), this is becoming the nexus of business, social, and familiar interactions. And the trend will only go up. Another 4 billion to go. But hey do those 4 Billion really count? I mean - we already got most of the G8 wired. G20 is moving along fine. Do we really need to worry about the G21 to G194? Just get China and India up to 50% each and we are already in the 2billion mark.

As I was listening to Sukhinder, I can't help but think, "Where is Analytics as a trend?". I wrote about the Competing on Analytics book and I am totally certain that this is where the world will be heading. I mentioned this when I was on the panel, but now that I have been giving it more thought, I have a different conclusion:

Analytics is a meta-megatrend. (Hahahahaahah....... Googled it.. another term coined by me. Take that all you highly-paid, suited Accenture/IBM/E&Y/McKinsey/BearPoint/CapGem management consultants. Better yet, pay me royalty for the usage.)

Seriously, analytics is a trend of trends. The whole online marketplace, from the perspective of businesses, will be driven by information. None of the above trends will matter unless every single detail can be tracked, categorized, filtered, consolidated and push on some digital dashboards somewhere so that someone can make business decisions. The above trends exists because there is the business world that can support it, or at least some of these start-ups think that they have the right ... what do you call it.... BUSINESS model. And business in the the future is driven by analytics. Capishe?